I believe that in the future it is definitely possible for something to overtake BIM but I feel that future is far out. Even while these programs are being developed BIM will also be advancing until it reaches a cap on its usefulness and the the other programs will really start to make headway. I feel like the focus for the next 10 years will be directed towards interoperability for BIM and databases for other programs. In regards to BIMs interoperability there are already several different types of programs that can be used together. The further they are developed the more information that will be able to transfer between programs. Information like material properties will being carried between programs makes work much more efficient allowing time to be spent in other places. The information provided by this type of program is stagnant which is why Bill Allen suggests the future is coming quick. By having a database that can take into account future results of construction with a better rate of success buildings can be created more efficiently and with a higher standard of living. It will be possible to monitor how fluctuating temperature or storm patterns may affect a buildings structure. It is also possible in the future that the monitoring of structural stability and air quality will become regulated. Putting sensors on buildings to gather the data of failure then using that for future project design will help create better buildings. I think the widespread usage of these data programs is in the future but it is farther out then Bill Allen predicts and I expect to see BIM advance to its peak in that time instead.
Comments:
Richard, I am not familiar with the programs Dynamo and Grasshoper but as you mentioned in the future it will be good to keep an eye on them. I feel that Revit has a vast potential and it is good that you could grow your knowledge of it while on co-op. I am a little skeptical on the use of these programs in the next 10 years but agree that robotics is farther off.
Jacklynn, In my post I also agree with the fact that for the next 10 years BIM will be the priority. The application of your work experience speaks volumes towards why BIM is the thing to look for in the next 10 years. I think that after this time period will be the turning point when BIM starts to fall behind.
Sean, It is good to see that you are taking an interest in the algorithms mentioned by Bill Allen because they will in no doubt become relevant at some point in your career. I find the drawbacks to the use of design in repetitive buildings being an interesting limiter to the capabilities of these database programs. I still personally believe that 10 years may be a bit soon for all of these programming changes to transpire.
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